Hoover, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

139
FXUS64 KBMX 251124
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
624 AM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 620 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026

 - Dry conditions will continue, with a warming trend expected
   through the week. Temperatures will drop this weekend
   following a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Wednesday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1022 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026

Water vapor imagery this evening reveals a stout upper ridge across
the southwestern US and and upper trough pushing offshore of the
northeastern US. This leaves us with west-northwest flow aloft for
the next couple of days. Much drier air in place (PWATs down around
0.5") have allowed us to cool off pretty efficiently this evening.
As of writing, temps are currently in the upper 50s to mid 60s. We
remain on track to drop into the 40s/50s by Wednesday morning.

Dry conditions remain in place through the week as upper ridging
expands east. However, if we do our best to find a mechanism to
produce rain, we can pull out a weak H7 shortwave moving across the
TN Valley tonight. CAMS are doing their best to hint at some very
light activity as there is a thin layer of moisture around H7. With
that said, much drier air in the lower levels would likely
prevent much of this activity from reaching the surface. Ridging
begins to retreat back west by the weekend as a trough digs across
the Great Lakes while sending a cold front our way. Moisture
recovery does not look too impressive ahead of this boundary so
this will likely be a dry FROPA for most. Best rain chances will
be across northern AL where there is a 10-30% chance.

Regarding our fire weather concerns, moisture will begin to recover
through the day tomorrow as a southeasterly ~30kt LLJ develops. We
will need to pay close attention to the trends regarding this
weekend`s front. Much drier air looks to surge in leading to RHs
back into the 20-25% range.

Lastly, we will see a warming trend kick in through the week with
highs rebounding back into the mid 80s by Friday. We trim off about
10-15 degrees on Saturday in the wake of a cold front. That cool
snap doesn`t last long as we warm right back up early next week.

95/Castillo

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026

VFR conditions and light winds are in place across the northern
terminals right now. Low level moisture will continue to increase
through the morning from the south. MVFR ceilings are now at AUO
and MGM this morning, so will go prevalent here through 16 to 17z.
Continued with just TEMPO groups at all other sites based on
satellite. VFR returns by a7 to 18z.

NOTE: We were informed that AUO AWOS will be undergoing
maintenance from 12z to 18z, so AMD NOT SKED has been added with
MVFR ceilings currently present.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Moisture will begin to slightly recover tonight through the
remainder of the week. Min RH values on Wednesday and Thursday
will hover in the 40-50% range. A cold front will move through on
Friday with much drier air moving into the area over the weekend.
RHs will fall into the 20-25% range each afternoon. Winds will
likely be elevated in the wake of that front so we will need to
monitor for increased fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     72  52  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    72  53  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  73  58  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  78  57  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      75  56  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      71  55  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  75  57  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        75  56  83  57 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...95/Castillo
AVIATION...16